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动能撞击防御小行星的前沿科学问题

Frontier Scientific Issues in Kinetic Impact Asteroid Defense

  • 摘要: 动能撞击被认为是最具工程可行性的小行星防御手段。实施在轨演示验证任务,不仅能够提升动能撞击技术的成熟度,还能够揭示近地小行星的轨道偏转规律,从而为未来应对真实场景下的近地小行星撞击威胁提供决策参考。近地小行星的轨道动力学特征及其结构物理化学特性,对动能撞击任务成功实施至关重要。同时,动能撞击任务也将为认识近地小行星的内部结构、组分及力学性能提供前所未有的机会。此外,动能撞击还将成为一个独特的“天然实验”,为比较行星学视角下的撞击物理研究提供关键案例,从而推动行星科学和行星防御技术的共同发展。本文面向中国计划在2030年前实施的首次小行星防御演示验证任务,系统梳理了动能撞击防御小行星的前沿科学问题,旨在为任务的设计实施及先期科学研究提供参考。

     

    Abstract: Kinetic impact is regarded as the most technically feasible method for asteroid defense. Conducting an on-orbit demonstration and verification mission would not only enhance the technological maturity of kinetic-impact deflection, but also reveal the orbital deflection behavior of near-Earth asteroids, thereby providing decision-making support for future responses to real near-Earth asteroid impact threats. The orbital dynamical characteristics and structural, physical, and chemical properties of near-Earth asteroids are critical to the successful implementation of kinetic-impact missions. At the same time, such missions would provide an unprecedented opportunity to investigate the internal structure, composition, and mechanical properties of near-Earth asteroids. In addition, kinetic impact would serve as a unique “natural experiment,” offering a key case study for impact physics from the perspective of comparative planetology and thereby promoting the coordinated development of planetary science and planetary defense technologies. Focusing on China’s first asteroid defense demonstration and verification mission planned before 2030, this paper systematically reviews the frontier scientific questions in kinetic-impact asteroid defense, with the aim of providing a reference for mission design, implementation, and preliminary scientific research.

     

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